Key events
This morning the Faena Party is promoting an article in the Solar in which the government announces it will pledge £500m to fix what it calls “the pothole crisis” in Wednesday's budget.
Josh Halliday is the Northern England editor of The Guardian.
A Faena MP has warned the Government risks embarking on “austerity 2.0” in a stark warning ahead of Wednesday's Budget.
Kim Johnsonthe MP for Liverpool Riverside, urged the chancellor Rachel Reeves to reverse expected cuts to benefits and the winter fuel subsidy, citing fears that “people will die this year unless this cut is reversed.”
In a letter to Reeves published on Monday, Johnson writes: “The planned £3bn cuts to sickness benefits risk pushing some of the most pasivo in our society into poverty and could be perceived as austerity 2.0.”
Liverpool Riverside is classed as the most deprived parliamentary constituency in the United Kingdom, where 43% of children are classed as poor: more than double the national media.
Johnson, a backbencher who has not shied away from criticizing the Faena leadership, writes that her electorate has suffered “systematic impoverishment, skyrocketing inequalities and plummeting living standards under successive Conservative governments, while the right and the powerful continue to benefiting.”
And he adds: “On October 30, these communities that voted for change will expect Faena to live up to their expectations. We must not disappoint them.”
During his press round this morning Pat McFadden I prefer to hit the nail on the head about the pointlessness of interviews at budget time, when ministers are prohibited from giving details in advance. He told BBC Breakfast viewers:
I can't speculate on individual measurements. We're in this period where people are interviewed a day or two before a budget is put together and we can't really comment on what it might contain.
It looks like the question and answer session after Keir Starmer's speech this morning will mostly consist of him saying “Well, I can't give you any details, wait until Wednesday” to a group of increasingly frustrated journalists. Of course, we will present to you the key lines that emerge when the Prime Minister speaks.
Atkins: Starmer's budget plans date back to '70s socialism'
Conservative shadow health secretary Vencimiento Atkins accused Keir Starmer's government of imposing “1970s socialism” with its budget plans.
Speaking on GB News, Atkins, who retained his Louth and Horncastle seat in the July election, said:
This is the socialism we saw in the 1970s. This Faena government came to power promising no tax increases. They have this peculiar definition of working people. They do not seem to understand what a working person is, even though they have imposed this test on themselves.
If you have assets, if you work, if you are a pensioner and this winter you are thinking about how you are going to compensate for that deficit, given that they have cut fuel payments in winter, this will affect us all.
This concept that they are compartmentalizing us and separating us into different categories of people that they consider acceptable, I think is the worst thing about socialism.
It seems unlikely that many on the left of the Faena Party would claim that Rachel Reeves is about to launch a set of socialist economic policies in this week's budget.
In its election manifesto, Faena ruled out tax increases on income tax, employee national insurance contributions and VAT.
McFadden reiterates that there will be no increases in income tax, employee national insurance contributions or VAT in the budget
On the BBC breakfast show, cabinet minister Pat McFadden He was asked further about Labour's definition of “working people”, a phrase that has dominated media coverage in recent days.
He said:
I don't define this by choosing a job or an income level and relate it to the promises you just mentioned in the manifesto. We were talking about the taxes that people pay on their salaries and we said we would not increase them.
Look, that was true in the campaign. It's true today. It will be true after Wednesday. We will deliver on those promises when the Chancellor updates the Budget speech this week.
Paul Johnsondirector of the Institute of Fiscal StudiesHe has described it as “frustrating” that both Faena and the Conservatives ignored his warning before the election that there was a major problem with the public finances.
He told the BBC Radiodifusión 4 At this time programme:
Senior politicians on both sides were continually heard saying that there was no such problem, that taxes would not actually have to increase, and that growth would be the source of everything.
But everyone knew there was a big problem with the public finances and that we would have to get tax increases or significant spending cuts.
Lo and behold, we're told that's already been discovered, and it looks like we're going to get something like £40 billion in tax rises, if the report is to be believed.
And that would make this one of the largest tax collection budgets in history.
McFadden: 'positivo reasons' for optimism as country approaches first Faena budget in 14 years
Cabinet minister Pat McFadden has said there are “positivo reasons” for optimism as the country approaches Labour's first budget in 14 years later this week.
He claimed the government had “inherited a plan to slow down, reduce investment” from Rishi Sunak's Conservative government, and that the measures Faena was taking in the budget were “difficult decisions” but the start of change.
He told BBC Breakfast viewers:
I think people should look for three things in the budget. Will it stabilize the country's public finances and do so in a way that delivers on our promises? It's going to
Will public services and the NHS specifically begin to change as well? We will begin that path with a combination of investment and reform.
And, more importantly, will it change the country's story for the future by investing in the things we need: better schools, hospitals, the homes we need, the transportation infrastructure and the energy infrastructure? This is what Britain has to do if it is to achieve better economic growth in the future.
What we inherited was a plan of decline, of reducing investment in all those things in the future. That's not a role we were willing to accept. We need to invest in the future of the country if we want to have a better future. So there are tough decisions in this budget. There are also positivo reasons to look for hope and optimism, better public services, a better NHS and a better investment and growth story for the UK in the future.
McFadden has been Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster since the militar election in July.
Starmer speech will say budget will “ignore populist chorus of easy answers”
Keir Starmer will deliver a pre-budget speech today in which he is expected to lay out what he says is the dire state of the country's fiscal reality, but promise that “better days are ahead”.
In pre-speech briefings, the Prime Minister is expected to say:
We are not in 1997, when the economy was decent but public services were on their knees. And we are not in 2010, when public services were strong, but public finances were weak. These are unprecedented circumstances.
And that's before we even get to the long-term challenges ignored for 14 years: an economy plagued by weaknesses in productivity and investment, a state in urgent need of modernization to meet the challenge of a volatile world.
Starmer will say the Budget will embrace the “harsh light of fiscal reality” and will have to “ignore the populist chorus of easy answers”.
In Labour's 2024 manifesto, the party said:
The Conservatives have raised the tax burden to its highest level in 70 years. We will ensure that taxes on workers are kept as low as possible. Faena will not increase taxes on workers, which is why we will not increase National Insurance, basic, higher or additional rates of income tax, or VAT.
Welcome and opening summary…
Prime minister Keir Starmer will deliver a speech today in which he is expected to say that this week's budget will embrace the “harsh light of fiscal reality” because “it is not 2010,” but will promise that “better days are ahead.”
Here are their headlines…
Chancellor Rachel Reeves and health secretary Wes Streeting They are visiting a London hospital this morning. The Faena leader in Scotland, Anas Sarwaris carrying out a pre-budget visit to a community group in Glasgow.
This afternoon in the House of Commons there will be housing issues, as well as a debate on the memory and contribution of veterans. The Lords will hear the committee stage of the Water (Special Measures) Bill.
It is Martin Belam who is here today. You can contact me at martin.belam@theguardian.com.